Abstract
Objective
Methods
Results
Conclusions
Graphical abstract

Key Words
Abbreviations and Acronyms:
ABG (arterial blood gas), CI (confidence interval), ECMO (extracorporeal membrane oxygenation), ICU (intensive care unit), IQR (interquartile range), LDH (lactate dehydrogenase), LMM (linear mixed-effects modeling), ROC (receiver-operating characteristic), SaO2 (oxygen saturation measured by arterial blood gas), SpO2 (oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry), VA (venoarterial), VV (venovenous)
- Valbuena V.S.M.
- Seelye S.
- Sjoding M.W.
- Valley T.S.
- Dickson R.P.
- Gay S.E.
- et al.
- Kaya A.G.
- Öz M.
- Kalkan İ.A.
- Gülten E.
- Çınar G.
- Azap A.
- et al.
- Philip K.E.J.
- Bennett B.
- Fuller S.
- Lonergan B.
- McFadyen C.
- Burns J.
- et al.
Methods
Study Design
Participants
Data Collection
Definitions
Outcomes
Statistical Analysis
- Philip K.E.J.
- Bennett B.
- Fuller S.
- Lonergan B.
- McFadyen C.
- Burns J.
- et al.
- Brochard L.
- Roudot-Thoraval F.
- Roupie E.
- Delclaux C.
- Chastre J.
- Fernandez-Mondéjar E.
- et al.
Results

Total (n = 139) | White (n = 91, 65%) | Black (n = 27, 19%) | Asian (n = 9, 6%) | Hispanic (n = 3, 2%) | Others (n = 9, 6%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demographics | ||||||
Age, y | 60 (48.5-68) | 62 (52.25-68) | 49.5 (40-60) | 70 (58-78) | 46 (37.5-47) | 62 (52-72) |
Male | 87 (63%) | 58 (64%) | 13 (48%) | 8 (89%) | 1 (33%) | 7 (78%) |
Female | 52 (37%) | 33 (36%) | 14 (52%) | 1 (11%) | 2 (67%) | 2 (22%) |
Body mass index, kg/m2 | 29.15 (25.50-35.05) | 29.25 (25.52-33.67) | 31.00 (25.40-35.60) | 26.20 (24.25-27.20) | 36.50 (36.45-36.55) | 27.90 (27.80-30.25) |
Medical history | ||||||
Ischemic stroke | 11 (8%) | 8 (9%) | 2 (7%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (11%) |
Intracranial hemorrhage | 1 (1%) | 1 (1%) | 0 (5%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Hypertension | 71 (51%) | 43 (47%) | 18 (67%) | 3 (33%) | 1 (33%) | 6 (66%) |
Hyperlipidemia | 54 (39%) | 34 (37%) | 11 (41%) | 3 (33%) | 1 (33%) | 5 (56%) |
Diabetes | 33 (24%) | 16 (18%) | 8 (30%) | 2 (22%) | 1 (33%) | 6 (66%) |
Congestive heart failure | 37 (27%) | 26 (29%) | 5 (19%) | 3 (33%) | 1 (33%) | 2 (22%) |
Chronic kidney disease | 33 (24%) | 16 (18%) | 8 (30%) | 2 (22%) | 1 (33%) | 6 (66%) |
Atrial fibrillation | 32 (23%) | 22 (24%) | 5 (19%) | 4 (44%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (11%) |
Antiplatelet therapy before index hospitalization | 45 (32%) | 26 (29%) | 9 (33%) | 3 (33%) | 2 (66%) | 5 (56%) |
Anticoagulation before index hospitalization | 27 (19%) | 19 (21%) | 4 (15%) | 3 (33%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (11%) |
Precannulation variables | ||||||
Glasgow coma scale | 15 (6.5-15) | 15 (5-15) | 15 (8.5-15) | 15 (6.5-15) | 15 (10.5-15) | 14 (8-15) |
Cardiac arrest | 63 (45%) | 36 (40%) | 15 (56%) | 4 (44%) | 1 (33%) | 7 (78%) |
Inotrope or vasopressor support | 109 (78%) | 71 (78%) | 22 (81%) | 7 (78%) | 2 (66%) | 7 (78%) |
Arterial blood gas | ||||||
pH | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) |
PacO2, mm Hg | 40 (33.5-48) | 42 (37-49) | 37 (29.5-49.5) | 35 (34-43) | 43 (38.5-43.5) | 38 (37-45) |
PaO2, mm Hg | 161 (89-306.5) | 210 (93-298) | 199 (97.5-329) | 164 (105-293) | 230 (172-321.5) | 86 (66-98) |
HCO3-, mEq/L | 20 (16-22) | 20 (18-23) | 20 (16-22.5) | 19 (18-21) | 15 (12-16.5) | 20 (17-22) |
SaO2, % | 99 (95-100) | 99 (96-100) | 99 (97-100) | 98 (98-99) | 100 (97-100) | 97 (89-97) |
ECMO day 1 variables | ||||||
Creatinine, mg/dL | 1 (1-2) | 1 (1-2) | 2 (1-2) | 2 (1-2) | 2 (1.5-6.5) | 1 (1-2) |
Platelet, units in thousands/μL | 83.0 (52.0-116.2) | 93.0 (77-120) | 67 (53-138) | 79 (71-99) | 49 (48.5-55.5) | 50 (35-57) |
Lactate, mmol/L | 6 (3-10) | 5 (2-9) | 5 (3-11) | 6 (4-9) | 10 (8.5-11) | 4 (3-6) |
AST, units/L | 168 (71-757.5) | 160 (60-697) | 131 (65.5-625) | 138 (126-185) | 56 (48.5-366) | 314 (95-851) |
ALT, IU/L | 74 (24-396.5) | 45 (26-288.8) | 47 (20.5-285) | 31 (25-103) | 15 (14.5-146.5) | 114 (24-386) |
SOFA score | 11 (10-13) | 11 (9-13) | 11 (9.5-14) | 12 (10-13) | 9 (8-10.5) | 13 (9-15) |
LDH, units/L | 876 (562-1929.5) | 1114 (532.5-1729.5) | 1794 (655.5-5091) | 626 (415.5-731) | NA | 1698 (1287-2109) |
Hemoglobin, g/dL | 8.6 (7.6-10.2) | 8.75 (7.65-10.18) | 7.9 (6.95-9.7) | 9.25 (8.275-10.375) | 8.3 (7.75-8.85) | 9.6 (8.175-11.125) |
VA-ECMO indications | ||||||
Cardiogenic shock | 48 (35%) | 31 (34%) | 11 (41%) | 2 (22%) | 0 (0%) | 4 (44%) |
ECPR | 25 (18%) | 16 (18%) | 6 (22%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 3 (33%) |
Postcardiotomy shock | 25 (18%) | 14 (15%) | 5 (19%) | 3 (33%) | 1 (33%) | 2 (22%) |
Cannulation strategy | ||||||
Central | 69 (50%) | 46 (51%) | 10 (37%) | 7 (78%) | 1 (33%) | 5 (56%) |
Peripheral | 70 (50%) | 45 (49%) | 17 (63%) | 2 (22%) | 2 (66%) | 4 (44%) |
Discharge location | ||||||
Home | 19 (14%) | 14 (15%) | 5 (19%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Acute rehabilitation | 12 (9%) | 11 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (11%) |
Long-term facility | 2 (1%) | 1 (0%) | 1 (4%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Skilled nursing facility | 6 (4%) | 6 (7%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
ECMO duration, h | 95.9 (58.3-191.6) | 110.8 (59.2-209.7) | 93.9 (58.3-150.9) | 95.88 (58.32-191.62) | 27.52 (24.98-40.77) | 83.78 (59.17-143.83) |
Mortality | 100 (72%) | 59 (65%) | 21 (78%) | 9 (100%) | 3 (100%) | 8 (89%) |
Good neurological outcome, mRS ≤3 | 23 (17%) | 15 (16%) | 6 (22%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (22%) |
Number of SpO2 measurements per patient | 36 (18.5-74) | 36 (19-72.5) | 61(21.5-91.75) | 36 (13-50) | 5 (3.50-28) | 28 (23-45) |
Total (n = 57) | White (n = 20, 35%) | Black (n = 19, 33%) | Asian (n = 3, 5%) | Hispanic (n = 13, 23%) | Others (n = 2, 4%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Demographics | ||||||
Age, y | 47 (36-57) | 44.5 (39.8-60.0) | 53 (39-59) | 60.0 (54.0-60.0) | 39.0 (30.0-47.0) | 43.5 (41.3-45.8) |
Male | 32 (56%) | 10 (50%) | 7 (37%) | 3 (100%) | 11 (85%) | 1 (50%) |
Female | 25 (44%) | 10 (50%) | 12 (63%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (15%) | 1 (50%) |
Body mass index, kg/m2 | 30.76 (28.23-35.59) | 30.90 (29.85-35.40) | 32.20 (27.50-35.69) | 23.30 (23.15-23.46) | 31.52 (29.39-35.40) | 31.52 (29.39-32.77) |
Medical history | ||||||
Ischemic stroke | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Intracranial hemorrhage | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Hypertension | 15 (26%) | 3 (15%) | 9 (47%) | 0 (0%) | 3 (23%) | 0 (0%) |
Hyperlipidemia | 15 (26%) | 6 (30%) | 8 (42%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (8%) | 0 (0%) |
Diabetes | 9 (16%) | 3 (15%) | 4 (21%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (15%) | 0 (0%) |
Congestive heart failure | 1 (2%) | 1 (5%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Chronic kidney disease | 9 (16%) | 3 (15%) | 4 (21%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (15%) | 0 (0%) |
Atrial fibrillation | 1 (2%) | 1 (5%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Antiplatelet therapy before index hospitalization | 5 (9%) | 3 (15%) | 2 (11%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Anticoagulation before index hospitalization | 3 (5%) | 2 (10%) | 1 (5%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Precannulation variables | ||||||
Glasgow coma scale | 11 (3-15) | 11 (3-15) | 11 (7-15) | 11 (9-13) | 3 (3-13) | 12.50 (11.25-13.75) |
Cardiac arrest | 6 (11%) | 1 (5%) | 3 (16%) | 1 (33%) | 1 (8%) | 0 (0%) |
Inotrope or vasopressor support | 24 (42%) | 12 (45%) | 5 (26%) | 2 (66%) | 4 (31%) | 1 (50%) |
Arterial blood gas | ||||||
pH | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) | 7 (7-7) |
PaCO2, mm Hg | 63.5 (53-73.8) | 62.0 (54.0-74.0) | 64.0 (53.0-77.0) | 74.5 (67.3-81.8) | 63.0 (52.8-68.0) | 88 (88-108) |
PaO2, mm Hg | 75.5 (65.3-98.3) | 82.0 (65.0-74.0) | 72.0 (67.0-81.0) | 85.5 (78.8-92.3) | 76.5 (66.3-32.8) | 169.5 (117.8-221.2) |
HCO3-, mEq/L | 25 (23-32) | 25.0 (21.0-32.0) | 25.0 (24.0-28.0) | 28.0 (26.0-30.0) | 27.0. (23.8-32.8) | 26 (16-36) |
SaO2, % | 92 (88-97) | 93.0 (87.8-99.0) | 92.0 (86.0-94.0) | 93.5 (92.3-94.8) | 93.0 (88.8-97.8) | 94 (91-97) |
ECMO day 1 variables | ||||||
Creatinine, mg/dL | 1 (1-2) | 1 (1-2) | 2 (1-2) | 1.5 (1.25-1.75) | 1 (1-1) | 1 (0.5-1.5) |
Platelet, units in thousands/μL | 176.5 (100.0-260.0) | 132.0. (87.0-254.0) | 156.0 (110.0-183.0) | 112.5 (73.3-151.8) | 222.0 (163.8-280.8) | 170.5 (125.8-215.2) |
Lactate, mmol/L | 3 (1-4) | 3 (1-7) | 3 (2-4) | 2.5 (2.3-2.5) | 1.5 (1.0-3.3) | 6.5 (4.8-8.3) |
AST, units/L | 58.0 (36.0-100.2) | 42.0 (21.0-79.0) | 86.0 (61.0-143.0) | 89.5 (73.3-105.8) | 46.5 (40.5-80.0) | 461.5 (247.8-675.2) |
ALT, IU/L | 42.5 (22.3-61.8) | 19.0 (14.0-48.0) | 51.0 (41.0-80.0) | 28.0 (21.0-35.0) | 44.0 (32.5-71.8) | 162.0. (93.0-231.0) |
LDH, units/L | 515.0 (318.8-686.5) | 555.0 (407.5-641.0) | 1686 (1686-1686) | N/A | 348 (282-414) | N/A |
Hemoglobin, g/dL | 9.1 (7.9-9.8) | 9.1 (8.7-10.3) | 8.6 (7.6-9.6) | 8.6 (8.6-8.6) | 10.5 (10.2-10.9) | 6.1 (6.1-6.1) |
SOFA score | 11 (8-13) | 11.0 (9.8-14.0) | 11 (8-13) | 12 (9.5-13.5) | 9 (8-11) | 12.5 (11.3-13.8) |
VV-ECMO indication | ||||||
ARDS | 25 (44%) | 7 (35%) | 10 (53%) | 1 (33%) | 7 (54%) | 0 (0%) |
Cannulation strategy | ||||||
Single lumen | 25 (44%) | 9 (45%) | 10 (53%) | 1 (33%) | 4 (31%) | 1 (50%) |
Double lumen | 32 (56%) | 11 (55%) | 9 (47%) | 2 (67%) | 9 (69%) | 1 (50%) |
Discharge location | ||||||
Home | 16 (28%) | 5 (25%) | 4 (21%) | 0 (0%) | 7 (54%) | 0 (0%) |
Acute rehabilitation | 10 (18%) | 3 (15%) | 5 (26%) | 0 (0%) | 2 (15%) | 0 (0%) |
Long-term facility | 1 (2%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (5%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Skilled nursing facility | 1 (2%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (8%) | 0 (0%) |
ECMO duration, h | 349.0 (151.4-605.6) | 210.2 (104-464.3) | 345.4 (95.7-612.2) | 402.6 (360.9-1122.2) | 427.7 (282.4-602.5) | 363.6 (325.2-401.3) |
Mortality | 29 (51%) | 12 (60%) | 9 (47%) | 3 (100%) | 3 (23%) | 2 (100%) |
Good neurological outcome, mRS ≤3 | 22 (39%) | 5 (25%) | 6 (32%) | 1 (33%) | 10 (77%) | 0 (0%) |
Number of SpO2 measurements per patient | 112 (48-182.5) | 92 (45.3-193.5) | 115 (74-146) | 333.0 (247.5-338.5) | 70.0 (47.0-167.0) | 127.5 (115.2-139.8) |
VA-ECMO



VV-ECMO
Exploratory Analysis
Discussion
Race/Ethnicity Discrepancy

VA-ECMO
VV-ECMO
Accuracy, Precision, Sensitivity and Specificity, and Threshold
Limitations
Conclusions
Conflict of Interest Statement
Appendix E1








Venoarterial (VA) ECMO patients | Venovenous (VV) ECMO patients | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All (139 patients, 7366 pairs) | White (91 patients, 4820 pairs) | Black (27 patients, 1763 pairs) | Asian (9 patients, 320 pairs) | Hispanic (3 patients, 58 pairs) | Nonspecified races (9 patients, 405 pairs) | All (57 patients, 8886 pairs) | White (20 patients, 3357 pairs) | Black (19 patients, 2774 pairs) | Asian (3 patients, 839 pairs) | Hispanic (13 patients, 1661 pairs) | Nonspecified races (2 patients, 255 pairs) | |
Estimated bias, % (mean difference) | 0.15 | −0.06 | 0.94 | 0.2 | 0.03 | −0.80 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | −0.53 |
Precision, % (standard deviation) | 3.5 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
Upper limit of agreement, % (95% CI limit) | 7.0 | 6.3 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 11.9 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 5.5 |
Lower limit of agreement, % (95% CI limit) | −6.7 | −6.4 | −7.1 | −4.1 | −5.5 | −7.8 | −6.4 | −6.1 | −6.2 | −6.6 | −5.5 | −6.5 |
Root mean square error, % | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.6 |
Pearson correlation coefficient (P value) | 0.45 (P < .0001) | 0.46 (P < .0001) | 0.47 (P < .0001) | 0.46 (P < .0001) | 0.39 (P = .002) | 0.48 (P < .001) | 0.68 (P < .0001) | 0.71 (P < .0001) | 0.62 (P < .0001) | 0.46 (P < .0001) | 0.78 (P < .0001) | 0.65 (P < .0001) |
Venoarterial (VA) ECMO | Venovenous (VV) ECMO | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All with cannulation strategy (139 patients, 7295 pairs) | Central (69 patients, 3924 pairs) | Peripheral (70 patients, 3371 pairs) | All with cannulation strategy (56 patients, 8805 pairs) | Single-lumen (24 patients, 3498 pairs) | Double-lumen (32 patients, 5307 pairs) | |
Estimated bias, % (mean difference) | 0.15 | 0.004 | 0.33 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Precision, % (standard deviation) | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
Upper limit of agreement, % (95% CI Limit) | 7.0 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 8.3 |
Lower limit of agreement, % (95% CI Limit) | −6.7 | −6.6 | −6.7 | −6.4 | −6.8 | −6.0 |
Root mean square error, % | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
Pearson correlation coefficient (P value) | 0.45 (P < .0001) | 0.40 (P < .0001) | 0.50 (P < .0001) | 0.68 (P < .0001) | 0.62 (P < .0001) | 0.73 (P < .0001) |
Estimate | Std. error | df | t value | Pr(>|t|) | 2.5% (95% CI limit) | 97.5% (95% CI limit) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Intercept) | −0.3436 | 0.2130 | 78.3475 | −1.613 | 0.11072 | −0.76115226 | 0.07386538 |
Black | 1.0187 | 0.3661 | 54.2250 | 2.782 | 0.00741 | 0.30106155 | 1.73633289 |
Asian | 0.6081 | 0.3180 | 24.6890 | 1.912 | 0.06748 | −0.01509709 | 1.23138934 |
Hispanic | −1.7411 | 1.8289 | 2.3148 | −0.952 | 0.42960 | −5.32562468 | 1.84340491 |
Others | −0.1400 | 0.4079 | 15.3592 | −0.343 | 0.73614 | −0.93932560 | 0.65941719 |
Estimate | Std. error | df | t value | Pr(>|t|) | 2.5% (95% CI limit) | 97.5% (95% CI limit) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Intercept) | −2.052e+00 | 2.603e+00 | 3.521e+01 | −0.788 | 0.4358 | −7.15281040 | 3.049504161 |
Black | −1.147e+00 | 8.967e+00 | 7.155e+00 | −0.128 | 0.9017 | −18.72286720 | 16.428492941 |
Asian | −1.836e+00 | 2.027e+01 | 1.513e-04 | −0.091 | 0.9996 | −41.56833197 | 37.897203047 |
Hispanic | −3.730e+00 | 4.220e+00 | 5.197e-04 | −0.884 | 0.9977 | −12.00082634 | 4.539889436 |
Others | −1.138e+01 | 5.617e+00 | 2.708e+03 | −2.026 | 0.0428 | −22.39278325 | −0.373532372 |
Age | −6.918e-04 | 3.655e-02 | 2.891e+01 | −0.019 | 0.9850 | −0.07232758 | 0.070943957 |
Male | −2.482e+00 | 2.431e+00 | 2.975e+01 | −1.021 | 0.3154 | −7.24667826 | 2.281791761 |
Vasopressor/inotrope usage | 2.565e+00 | 1.626e+00 | 3.652e+01 | 1.578 | 0.1232 | −0.62136017 | 5.751468212 |
Central cannulation | 5.394e+00 | 3.702e+00 | 2.948e+01 | 1.457 | 0.1557 | −1.86223834 | 12.650328636 |
Black + age | −2.599e-02 | 1.267e-01 | 7.040e+00 | −0.205 | 0.8433 | −0.27433209 | 0.222356878 |
Asian + age | 1.213e-01 | 4.925e-01 | 1.501e-04 | 0.246 | 0.9994 | −0.84405529 | 1.086612868 |
Others + age | 1.995e-01 | 1.091e-01 | 3.070e+03 | 1.829 | 0.0675 | −0.01430126 | 0.413288675 |
Black + male | 3.593e+00 | 9.376e+00 | 6.861e+00 | 0.383 | 0.7131 | −14.78385109 | 21.970751286 |
Asian + male | −3.087e+00 | 1.725e+01 | 1.507e-04 | −0.179 | 0.9995 | −36.90229359 | 30.727487802 |
Others + male | 9.399e-01 | 1.033e+00 | 1.615e+02 | 0.910 | 0.3642 | −1.08470386 | 2.964478446 |
Age + male | 3.560e-02 | 4.464e-02 | 3.012e+01 | 0.798 | 0.4314 | −0.05188553 | 0.123089242 |
Black + vasopressor/inotrope usage | 2.240e+00 | 6.826e+00 | 6.893e+00 | 0.328 | 0.7525 | −11.13839813 | 15.619162665 |
Asian + vasopressor/inotrope usage | −3.875e+00 | 7.001e+00 | 1.716e-04 | −0.553 | 0.9992 | −17.59691429 | 9.846908126 |
Black + central cannulation | −8.958e+00 | 1.154e+01 | 7.573e+00 | −0.777 | 0.4610 | −31.56927619 | 13.652853309 |
Others + central cannulation | −3.811e+00 | 1.840e+00 | 2.314e+03 | −2.072 | 0.0384 | −7.41673109 | −0.205436028 |
Age + central cannulation | −1.177e-01 | 6.339e-02 | 2.958e+01 | −1.856 | 0.0734 | −0.24192770 | 0.006566784 |
Male + central cannulation | −2.534e+00 | 4.388e+00 | 2.908e+01 | −0.577 | 0.5681 | −11.13427713 | 6.066276039 |
Black + age + male | 2.571e-02 | 1.927e-01 | 6.670e+00 | 0.133 | 0.8978 | −0.35193578 | 0.403347865 |
Black + age + central cannulation | 1.590e-01 | 2.294e-01 | 7.067e+00 | 0.693 | 0.5103 | −0.29051975 | 0.608533784 |
Black + male + central cannulation | 1.373e+01 | 2.059e+01 | 6.559e+00 | 0.667 | 0.5278 | −26.63638448 | 54.094041403 |
Age + male + central cannulation | 6.155e-02 | 7.454e-02 | 2.937e+01 | 0.826 | 0.4156 | −0.08454957 | 0.207646924 |
Black + age + male + central cannulation | −2.800e-01 | 3.690e-01 | 6.496e+00 | −0.759 | 0.4746 | −1.00326501 | 0.443287580 |
Patient type | SaO2 threshold (%) | AUC | Specificity (%) | Sensitivity (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
All (VA-ECMO + VV-ECMO) | 88 | 0.888 (0.879-0.897) | 76 | 88 |
92 | 0.868 (0.862-0.875) | 95 | 48 | |
95 | 0.850 (0.844-0.856) | 100 | 0 | |
VA-ECMO only | 88 | 0.802 (0.766-0.837) | 23 | 98 |
92 | 0.822 (0.804-0.840) | 69 | 83 | |
95 | 0.802 (0.789-0.815) | 100 | 0 | |
VV-ECMO only | 88 | 0.880 (0.870-0.890) | 84 | 76 |
92 | 0.855 (0.847-0.863) | 98 | 26 | |
95 | 0.846 (0.838-0.854) | 100 | 0 |
Patient type | SaO2 threshold (%) | Optimal SpO2 (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Positive predictive value (%) | Negative predictive value (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All (VA + VV-ECMO) | 88 | 90 | 83 | 81 | 98 | 32 |
92 | 81 | 77 | 83 | 94 | 50 | |
95 | 69 | 78 | 80 | 87 | 67 | |
VA-ECMO only | 88 | 97 | 86 | 66 | 99 | 12 |
92 | 93 | 77 | 76 | 98 | 21 | |
95 | 84 | 80 | 71 | 94 | 39 | |
VV-ECMO only | 88 | 85 | 83 | 79 | 96 | 44 |
92 | 68 | 78 | 78 | 88 | 64 | |
95 | 56 | 74 | 82 | 78 | 78 |
Estimate | Std. error | df | t value | Pr(>|t|) | 2.5% (95% CI limit) | 97.5% (95% CI limit) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Intercept) | −0.1855 | 0.4128 | 48.4206 | −0.449 | 0.655 | −0.9945786 | 0.6235495 |
Black | 2.7654 | 0.6089 | 48.3778 | 4.541 | 3.72e-05 | 1.5719211 | 3.9588357 |
Asian | 1.4706 | 1.1250 | 45.5359 | 1.307 | 0.198 | −0.7343245 | 3.6754743 |
Hispanic | 1.0670 | 0.6569 | 48.2163 | 1.624 | 0.111 | −0.2205120 | 2.3545324 |
Others | −0.4770 | 1.3553 | 46.6053 | −0.352 | 0.726 | −3.1333892 | 2.1793811 |
Estimate | Std. Error | df | t value | Pr(>|t|) | 2.5% (95% CI limit) | 97.5% (95% CI limit) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Intercept) | −2.963e+00 | 2.350e+00 | 5.062e+00 | −1.261 | 0.2624 | −7.56890474 | 1.64292640 |
Black | −4.502e+00 | 3.258e+00 | 1.234e+01 | −1.382 | 0.1915 | −10.88721046 | 1.88332055 |
Asian | 1.480e+01 | 3.121e+01 | 6.855e-05 | 0.474 | 0.9997 | −46.37958646 | 75.97640209 |
Hispanic | 3.777e+00 | 2.897e+00 | 6.312e+00 | 1.304 | 0.2378 | −1.90041771 | 9.45471651 |
Others | −7.193e-01 | 3.978e+00 | 2.356e-05 | −0.181 | 0.9999 | −8.51623638 | 7.07760379 |
Age | 6.675e-02 | 4.881e-02 | 4.751e+00 | 1.368 | 0.2326 | −0.02891663 | 0.16242499 |
Female | 1.892e+01 | 2.326e+01 | 3.574e+00 | 0.813 | 0.4667 | −26.67546964 | 64.51903101 |
Double-lumen cannula | −1.454e+01 | 3.131e+01 | 3.520e+00 | −0.464 | 0.6697 | −75.90531006 | 46.83094777 |
Black + age | 1.856e-01 | 7.200e-02 | 1.336e+01 | 2.578 | 0.0225 | 0.04451583 | 0.32676384 |
Asian + age | −2.448e-01 | 5.756e-01 | 6.910e-05 | −0.425 | 0.9997 | −1.37300969 | 0.88349131 |
Hispanic + age | −5.460e-02 | 6.456e-02 | 5.970e+00 | −0.846 | 0.4303 | −0.18112814 | 0.07193721 |
Black + female | −2.057e+01 | 1.135e+02 | 3.851e+00 | −0.181 | 0.8653 | −243.05728004 | 201.90808294 |
Hispanic + female | −1.069e+01 | 1.753e+01 | 3.718e+00 | −0.609 | 0.5775 | −45.04734486 | 23.67732100 |
Age + female | −4.045e-01 | 5.419e-01 | 3.620e+00 | −0.746 | 0.5010 | −1.46663130 | 0.65763568 |
Black + double-lumen cannula | 2.706e+01 | 1.130e+02 | 3.761e+00 | 0.240 | 0.8232 | −194.36008605 | 248.48535955 |
Hispanic + double-lumen cannula | 1.315e+01 | 3.194e+01 | 3.791e+00 | 0.412 | 0.7026 | −49.44037080 | 75.75029352 |
Age + double-lumen cannula | 2.531e-01 | 5.199e-01 | 3.447e+00 | 0.487 | 0.6557 | −0.76590155 | 1.27206949 |
Female + double-lumen cannula | 2.486e+00 | 9.239e+00 | 3.755e+00 | 0.269 | 0.8020 | −15.62132567 | 20.59404898 |
Black + age + female | 3.711e-01 | 2.069e+00 | 3.837e+00 | 0.179 | 0.8667 | −3.68388457 | 4.42599426 |
Black + age + double-lumen cannula | −5.395e-01 | 2.058e+00 | 3.740e+00 | −0.262 | 0.8070 | −4.57247794 | 3.49342111 |
Hispanic + age + double-lumen cannula | −2.218e-01 | 5.383e-01 | 3.945e+00 | −0.412 | 0.7017 | −1.27690949 | 0.83325120 |
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S.P.K. is supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI; 5K08HL14332). S.M.C. is supported by NHLBI (1K23HL157610).
Drs Kim and Cho contributed equally to this article.
HERALD (Hopkins Education, Research, and Advancement in Life support Devices) Investigators: Kate Calligy, RN, Patricia Brown, RD-AP, LDN, CNSC, Diane Alejo, BS, Scott Anderson, BA, Matthew Acton, MD, Hannah Rando, MD, Henry Chang, MD, PhD.
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